The year 2020 was a tumultuous one for the global financial system, with the COVID-19 pandemic causing a sharp decline in economic activity, leading to a sell-off of risky assets and a credit crunch. Central banks and governments around the world responded with aggressive policy intervention to stabilize the financial system and prevent a deeper recession.
Stock market crash
Global stock markets experienced their worst crash since 1987 in the early months of 2020. The S&P 500 index fell by more than 30% in just over a month, from a record high of 3,386 on February 19 to a low of 2,191 on March 23. The decline was driven by several factors, including:
- The uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the global economy
- The sharp decline in economic activity as businesses were forced to close and consumers stayed home
- The sell-off of risky assets by investors, who were seeking to reduce their exposure to risk in the face of the pandemic
The stock market crash had a significant impact on businesses and individuals around the world. Companies saw their share prices plunge, making it more difficult to raise capital and invest in new projects. Individuals lost billions of dollars in wealth as their stock portfolios shrank.
Credit crunch
The COVID-19 pandemic also led to a credit crunch in financial markets. Lenders became more reluctant to lend money to businesses and individuals, fearing they would be unable to repay their loans. The cost of borrowing also increased.
The credit crunch made it difficult for businesses to finance their operations and invest in growth. It also made it more difficult for individuals to buy homes and cars.
One of the most significant developments in the credit crunch was the collapse of the oil market in April 2020. The oil price crashed to below $0 per barrel for the first time in history, as the COVID-19 pandemic led to a sharp decline in demand for oil. The oil price crash had a devastating impact on the energy sector, and it also led to a decline in lending to the sector.
Bank failures
The pandemic also led to an increase in bank failures. Several small banks in the United States failed due to the economic downturn and the rise in bad loans.
One of the largest bank failures in the United States in 2020 was the failure of Washington Federal Bank, the 19th largest bank in the country by assets. The bank failed on February 25, 2020, after suffering heavy losses from bad loans.
Central bank intervention
Central banks around the world responded to the COVID-19 pandemic with aggressive policy intervention. They cut interest rates to near zero and launched large-scale asset purchase programs to inject liquidity into the financial system.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) was one of the most aggressive central banks in its response to the pandemic. The Fed cut interest rates to near zero in March 2020 and launched a $700 billion quantitative easing (QE) program. The Fed also launched several other programs to support the financial system, including the Main Street Lending Program and the Term Funding Facility.
The Fed’s aggressive policy intervention helped to stabilize the financial system and prevent a deeper recession. The stock market recovered from its March lows, and credit spreads narrowed.
Government fiscal stimulus
Governments around the world also enacted fiscal stimulus packages to support the economy. These packages included direct payments to individuals, tax breaks for businesses, and increased spending on infrastructure and social programs.
The US government enacted the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act in March 2020, which was the largest fiscal stimulus package in US history. The CARES Act included direct payments of $1,200 to most Americans, as well as tax breaks for businesses and increased spending on unemployment benefits and small businesses.
The CARES Act helped to support the economy during the pandemic, and it also helped to prevent a wave of defaults on mortgages and other loans.
Long-term implications
The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have several long-term implications for the financial system. One implication is that central banks and regulators are likely to place a greater emphasis on the resilience of the financial system. This could lead to changes in capital requirements and other regulatory frameworks.
Another implication is that the pandemic is likely to accelerate the shift towards digital banking. Consumers and businesses increasingly relied on digital banking services during the pandemic, and this trend is likely to continue in the years to come.
Finally, the pandemic is also likely to lead to increased interest in ESG investing. ESG investing is a type of investing that considers environmental, social, and governance factors when making investment decisions.